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What can
you expect (in terms of return percentages) when you play
blackjack by the basic strategy? It depends on the game
you're playing; the number of decks being dealt and the
rules in force affect the expected return. For almost all
games you encounter, the basic strategy player's expectation
is between -0.7% and +0.1%. The majority will actually be
between -0.6% and 0.0%.
We've generated the following table to guide you in estimating
the approximate effects of rules variations on the basic
strategy player. (The table was generated by simulation
assuming our generic basic strategy and should be used only
as a guide. The effects of rules variations often depend
on the number of decks in play. We have assumed the average
effect for the purposes of constructing the table on pg.
37.)
The benchmark is for the set of rules often referred to
as the "Las Vegas Strip game." The top-of-the-deck
expectation is effectively -0.02%, making it nearly an even
game.
To estimate the expectation for a particular game, we can,
to a good approximation, start with the benchmark and adjust
for any rules changes by simply adding their effects.
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